Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.065885 0.077933 0.091432 0.107660 0.126621 0.148059 0.174119
2025-05-04 0.047770 0.063413 0.082916 0.108938 0.142668 0.184824 0.241421
2025-05-11 0.037510 0.054479 0.077461 0.110690 0.157309 0.220165 0.311089
2025-05-18 0.031405 0.049144 0.074865 0.114586 0.174027 0.259242 0.390138
2025-05-25 0.025186 0.042123 0.068220 0.110937 0.178589 0.280923 0.446548
2025-06-01 0.021279 0.037770 0.064591 0.110821 0.187790 0.309831 0.516586
2025-06-08 0.017979 0.033722 0.060639 0.109291 0.194092 0.334452 0.582326
2025-06-15 0.016006 0.031571 0.059423 0.111981 0.207459 0.371714 0.672787
2025-06-22 0.013817 0.028610 0.056263 0.110647 0.213424 0.396853 0.745153
2025-06-29 0.011823 0.025653 0.052615 0.107779 0.216029 0.416090 0.808892
2025-07-06 0.010093 0.022910 0.048931 0.104227 0.216716 0.431646 0.867280
2025-07-13 0.009207 0.021782 0.048268 0.106532 0.228994 0.470125 0.973082
2025-07-20 0.008272 0.020411 0.046956 0.107429 0.238795 0.505412 1.077781
2025-07-27 0.007421 0.019084 0.045546 0.107924 0.247858 0.540347 1.186044
2025-08-03 0.006756 0.018080 0.044690 0.109502 0.259412 0.581632 1.312031
2025-08-10 0.006314 0.017542 0.044819 0.113327 0.276398 0.636188 1.472137
2025-08-17 0.005487 0.015863 0.041973 0.109709 0.275886 0.652720 1.551201
2025-08-24 0.004955 0.014870 0.040652 0.109593 0.283541 0.688163 1.676272
2025-08-31 0.004420 0.013768 0.038882 0.108079 0.287589 0.715755 1.786288
2025-09-07 0.004131 0.013315 0.038740 0.110740 0.302319 0.769833 1.964057
2025-09-14 0.003710 0.012393 0.037186 0.109421 0.306720 0.799658 2.086861
2025-09-21 0.003284 0.011368 0.035186 0.106583 0.306765 0.818792 2.185501
2025-09-28 0.002886 0.010356 0.033059 0.103068 0.304520 0.831910 2.270453